Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 172.426729 198.218343 227.248614 262.478548 304.253480 352.424880 412.489114
2025-10-19 134.864507 167.265214 207.143596 260.335390 330.178295 419.809330 545.247178
2025-10-26 116.627715 152.576930 199.726659 267.100128 362.557799 495.522252 699.358408
2025-11-02 102.883548 140.345044 192.010857 270.045333 387.728360 563.292318 854.318156
2025-11-09 92.829923 131.195015 186.424883 273.943494 413.377699 634.567516 1028.398679
2025-11-16 83.953251 122.294152 179.562230 274.185145 432.428208 697.677978 1201.882179
2025-11-23 76.419097 114.327190 172.829943 273.184897 448.566108 757.844926 1382.914726
2025-11-30 71.102459 109.076852 169.523010 276.996088 472.988100 836.245790 1616.718805
2025-12-07 63.985610 100.143930 159.143929 267.131933 471.037259 864.842031 1755.578985
2025-12-14 59.037432 94.240071 153.106939 264.013316 480.897707 917.695736 1959.567693
2025-12-21 55.742429 90.761910 150.790451 267.264494 503.387191 1000.098612 2253.171219
2025-12-28 54.021719 89.795609 152.726712 278.686079 544.027850 1129.054828 2698.466522
2026-01-04 51.945586 88.335526 154.216487 290.747608 591.126334 1290.071195 3304.670421
2026-01-11 48.195418 83.522162 149.027867 288.809652 607.901043 1385.652287 3773.163150
2026-01-18 45.979923 81.301624 148.495474 296.471418 648.120821 1550.247775 4522.730028
2026-01-25 43.517405 78.347161 146.149193 299.799648 678.645257 1697.894787 5289.218486
2026-02-01 41.402679 75.847962 144.415155 304.204495 712.773613 1865.477876 6213.825466
2026-02-08 39.105195 72.761547 141.113569 304.477599 736.273052 2009.139290 7128.932773
2026-02-15 36.902763 69.662604 137.448034 303.347206 755.833226 2146.928138 8103.270676
2026-02-22 35.336681 67.727685 136.084496 307.654734 791.634624 2348.930942 9493.605566
2026-03-01 32.724866 63.382807 128.971118 296.508515 780.409216 2388.565079 10142.849300
2026-03-08 30.896583 60.558542 125.009981 292.986316 791.546500 2511.862685 11308.698552
2026-03-15 29.711498 59.021486 123.835525 296.658250 825.841313 2732.955814 13183.062477